Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

With all the attention given to the recent surge in Treasury (UST) yields, there has been an interesting by-product in the process: steepening yield curves. Remember when inverted yield curves were ...

The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

Here at The Indicator we've been on recession watch ever since the yield curve inverted at the end of last year. For the uninitiated, the yield curve shows different interest rates on government bonds ...

When it comes to the U.S. economy, an inverted yield curve is like the monster under the bed: It’s always lurking, but it doesn’t always come out. Recently it has, however, which could be an early ...

There is much talk these days about the yield curve, and what its shape can tell us about the future of markets. I will not review the analytics of the curve because it is exhaustively covered in the ...

The Treasury yield curve is now its least inverted—meaning yields on long-term Treasurys are below those on shorter-term ones—since Nov. 1, with the two-year yield sliding to near-year lows. Inverted ...

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The inverted yield curve is one of the more reliable recession indicators. I discussed it at length last December. At that point, we had not yet seen a full inversion. Now we have, and it appears the ...

Historical charts show inverted yield curves often precede recessions. Therefore, many conclude that today's inverted yield curve means a recession is coming. The problem is, that link is a sloppy ...

ORLANDO, Florida, March 14 (Reuters) - When the U.S. yield curve inverts bad things tend to happen. It's a lesson many investors seem reluctant to learn as there's always a tendency to assume it's ...

After a little over two years, the yield curve is back to normal. That is to say, interest rates on longer-term bonds are once again higher than the interest rates of shorter-term bonds like two-year ...