Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

Inverted yield curves happen when bonds with shorter maturity periods have higher yields than bonds with longer maturity periods. Under normal circumstances, it’s the other way around. Since ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted, a ...

In last week's commentary we spoke about the big bounce of the S&P 500 (SPY) that got us back in the mix of all the key trend lines (50/100/200 day moving averages). And likely we would be stuck in a ...

The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it is often seen as a harbinger of ...

One of the main stories in the money and bond markets of late has been the development of inverted yield curves in the Treasury (UST) market. Indeed, a variety of intra-maturity spreads have witnessed ...

The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

An ominous measure that the Federal Reserve considers a near surefire recession signal again has reared its head in the bond market. Stream Connecticut News for free, 24/7, wherever you are. The ...

Analysts and investors began to brace for a souring economic environment as the 10-year Treasury yield fell below that of a 3 ...

As of early March 2025, investors—and consumers—have once again begun to feel skittish about the possibility of an impending ...

A short question: How do I ignore the noise in the markets? A recession has been predicted for the past several years, but the sky has not fallen (yet). Even with a slew of positive economic news, I ...

An ominous measure that the Federal Reserve considers a near surefire recession signal again has reared its head in the bond market. The 10-year Treasury yield passed below that of the 3-month note in ...