Dec 6, 2022 · Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted …

Feb 14, 2025 · State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Apr 7, 2020 · Who will win the Ohio primary? Ohio will vote on April 28th. This state releases its results after Bernie Sanders dropped out on April 8. These results do not affect the overall forecast. See the …

Feb 25, 2025 · State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

1. Are you registered to vote in the State of Alaska? +------------------------------+-------------------------+

Latest forecasts and polls for the 2020 Senate elections by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight

The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals).

Latest forecasts and polls for the 2020 House elections by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight

Jan 13, 2021 · FiveThirtyEight is tracking polls that ask whether respondents support removing President Trump from office before the end of his term.

Oct 31, 2020 · More people than ever are voting by mail this year due to the pandemic, and mail ballots take longer to count than ballots cast at polling places. But because each state has its own rules for …